Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Launceston, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Moerani Bouzige		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.79	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.2)	1.89 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moerani Bouzige
50.9%

Matthew Dellavedova
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moerani Bouzige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moerani Bouzige's performance.

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Dellavedova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moerani Bouzige than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moerani Bouzige that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Dellavedova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moerani Bouzige - Matthew Dellavedova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dellavedova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bouzige is ranked ATP: 495. Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 519.

Bouzige is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dellavedova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dellavedova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dellavedova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bouzige won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Moerani Bouzige - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moerani Bouzige
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Moerani Bouzige - Jesse Delaney	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Moerani Bouzige - Jun Hao Luo	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Enzo Aguiard - Moerani Bouzige	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Moerani Bouzige - Shinji Hazawa	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Moerani Bouzige - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Pavle Marinkov - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Ajeet Rai - Matthew Dellavedova	Rai A. retired ✺
24.02.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Masamichi Imamura	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Ty Host	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.11.23	Matthew Dellavedova - Moerani Bouzige	1:2
15.03.23	Moerani Bouzige - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2

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