Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	Moez Echargui		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.8
	1.84	1.86	Watch
	1.87	1.9
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.6)	1.85 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
49.9%

Maxim Mrva
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moez Echargui's performance.

Maxim Mrva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxim Mrva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moez Echargui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxim Mrva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Moez Echargui - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Echargui will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maxim Mrva will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 333. Mrva is ranked ATP: 501.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mrva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
03.07.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Moez Echargui - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Moez Echargui - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Moez Echargui - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Robin Bertrand - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW

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