Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.41	1.59
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.44	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.2)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
38.8%

Moez Echargui
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sakellaridis will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Echargui will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakellaridis: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 423. Echargui is ranked ATP: 333.

Sakellaridis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Echargui is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Echargui may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Echargui will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Echargui will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakellaridis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Sakellaridis - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Jakub Paul - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Martin Krumich - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Lorenzo Angelini	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Andrej Martin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWLL
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Moez Echargui - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Moez Echargui - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Moez Echargui - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Robin Bertrand - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Erik Arutiunian - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.03.22	Moez Echargui - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide