Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Sharm ElSheikh 19 (Egypt), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Mohamed Safwat		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	3	1.33
	3.4	1.26
	3.44	1.27	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.46	1.27	Watch
	3.4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.75)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohamed Safwat
27.5%

Marek Gengel
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohamed Safwat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mohamed Safwat's form might have worsened.

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Gengel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mohamed Safwat than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mohamed Safwat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marek Gengel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Safwat is ranked ATP: 470. Gengel is ranked ATP: 286.

One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Gengel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gengel will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gengel to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Safwat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohamed Safwat
ITF Tournaments
05.12.24	Mohamed Safwat - Benjamin Hannestad	2:0 ✺
04.12.24	Mohamed Safwat - Mattias Southcombe	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Mohamed Safwat - Nikola Milojevic	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	Evgeny Philippov - Mohamed Safwat	0:2 ✺
15.11.24	Mohamed Safwat - Filippo Speziali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Marek Gengel
ITF Tournaments
05.12.24	Mees Rottgering - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
04.12.24	David Poljak - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Marek Gengel - Vadym Ursu	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Marek Gengel - Leonardo Rossi	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Marek Gengel - Aleksei Mokrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.10.24	Marek Gengel - Mohamed Safwat	Safwat M. retired

Mohamed Safwat - Marek Gengel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide