Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Moise Kouame		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.81	1.97	Watch
	1.79	1.97	Watch
	1.87	1.94
	1.82	2.01	Watch
	1.79	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.73)	1.96 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moise Kouame
51.9%

Alexandre Muller
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moise Kouame has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Moise Kouame - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kouame is ranked ATP: 191., and Muller is ranked ATP: 135..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Kouame could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandre Muller - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.59%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moise Kouame
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Moise Kouame - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Moise Kouame - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Moise Kouame - Filip Peliwo	Peliwo F. Retired ✺
15.09.26	Moise Kouame - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Moise Kouame - Kenta Miyoshi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LW?WL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Chengdu
23.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Felix Balshaw - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Ziga Sesko - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

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