Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Rei Sakamoto		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.45	2.60
	1.46	2.65
	1.5	2.67
	1.45	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.44	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	2.66 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
64.6%

Alexandre Muller
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Muller will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 157. Muller is ranked ATP: 138.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Muller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sakamoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sakamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.1%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Jay Clarke - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Daniel Milavsky - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LWL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Laslo Djere - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Alexandre Muller - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Guy Den Ouden - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:1
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Rei Sakamoto	2:0

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