Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Alexandre Muller		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.10
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.17	Watch
	1.66	2.25
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.49)	2.2 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
57.2%

Luka Pavlovic
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alexandre Muller - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 135., and Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 201..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Muller could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Muller holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Felix Balshaw - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Ziga Sesko - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Laslo Djere - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Alexandre Muller - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Hunter Heck - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Ha Minh Duc Vu - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Luka Pavlovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL

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