Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nantes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Mona Barthel		Elena Malygina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.59
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	2.53 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
63.2%

Elena Malygina
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Elena Malygina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mona Barthel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elena Malygina than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elena Malygina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mona Barthel - Elena Malygina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barthel is ranked WTA: 184. Malygina is ranked WTA: 298.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barthel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barthel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barthel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.36%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Mona Barthel - Julie Belgraver	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Noma Akugue Noha - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Elena Malygina - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Jule Niemeier - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Lea Nilsson - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Elena Malygina
ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Elena Malygina - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Viktoria Hruncakova - Elena Malygina	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Elena Malygina - Adrienn Nagy	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Elena Malygina - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Lola Radivojevic - Elena Malygina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Elena Malygina - Mona Barthel	0:2
24.10.24	Elena Malygina - Mona Barthel	2:0
16.10.24	Elena Malygina - Mona Barthel	2:0
26.01.23	Elena Malygina - Mona Barthel	1:2
18.11.22	Mona Barthel - Elena Malygina	2:1

Mona Barthel - Elena Malygina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide