Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50+H Calvi (France), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Mona Barthel		Valentina Ryser

	1	2
	1.54	2.41
	1.55	2.41
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.73)	2.39 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mona Barthel
60.9%

Valentina Ryser
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mona Barthel's performance.

Valentina Ryser has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentina Ryser might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mona Barthel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentina Ryser than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentina Ryser could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Barthel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ryser is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barthel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
19.04.24	Irina Ramialison - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
18.04.24	Julie Belgraver - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Jenny Lim - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Nigina Abduraimova - Mona Barthel	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Mona Barthel - Yuriko Lily Miyazaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL
- Valentina Ryser
ITF Tournaments
19.04.24	Valentina Ryser - Sarah Beth Grey	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Valentina Ryser - Amandine Hesse	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Valentina Ryser - Marie Weckerle	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Valentina Ryser	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Alice Robbe - Valentina Ryser	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Mona Barthel - Valentina Ryser: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide