Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Brisbane 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Monique Barry		Natsumi Kawaguchi

	1	2
	4.9	1.14
	3.07	1.31	Watch
	4.38	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.19)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monique Barry
22.7%

Natsumi Kawaguchi
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monique Barry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monique Barry's form might have worsened.

Natsumi Kawaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Natsumi Kawaguchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monique Barry than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monique Barry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Natsumi Kawaguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Barry is ranked WTA: 652. Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 578.

Barry is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kawaguchi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kawaguchi is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monique Barry
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Monique Barry - Naiktha Bains	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Monique Barry - Su Jeong Jang	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Natsuho Arakawa - Monique Barry	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Katie Swan - Monique Barry	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Jelena Cvijanovic - Monique Barry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
28.10.25	Laquisa Khan - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Elena Micic - Natsumi Kawaguchi	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Shiho Tsujioka - Natsumi Kawaguchi	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Sara Saito - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.06.23	Monique Barry - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2

Monique Barry - Natsumi Kawaguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide