Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Incheon, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Sara Saito		Natsumi Kawaguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.23	3.86
	1.19	4.03	Watch
	1.24	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.36)	3.79 ↑ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Saito
75.5%

Natsumi Kawaguchi
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Saito's performance.

Natsumi Kawaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Natsumi Kawaguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Saito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Natsumi Kawaguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sara Saito - Natsumi Kawaguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saito is ranked WTA: 252. Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 624.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kawaguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Saito is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Sara Saito - Su Jeong Jang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Sara Saito - Chloe Paquet	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Sara Saito - Joanna Garland	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Sara Saito	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Sara Saito - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWL
- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Ya-Hsuan Lee	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Nana Kawagishi - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Yuka Hosoki - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Yuhan Wang - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Momoko Kobori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.04.24	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Sara Saito	0:2
11.05.23	Sara Saito - Natsumi Kawaguchi	1:2

Sara Saito - Natsumi Kawaguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide