Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Moyuka Uchijima		Maja Chwalinska

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.66
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moyuka Uchijima
41.3%

Maja Chwalinska
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moyuka Uchijima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moyuka Uchijima's form might have worsened.

Maja Chwalinska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maja Chwalinska's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maja Chwalinska than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Moyuka Uchijima - Maja Chwalinska Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Uchijima will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Chwalinska will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chwalinska: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchijima (votes: 2 - 50%). Chwalinska (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchijima is ranked WTA: 77. Chwalinska is ranked WTA: 134.

Uchijima is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chwalinska is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chwalinska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Maja Chwalinska - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moyuka Uchijima
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Ada Kumru	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mayar Sherif - Moyuka Uchijima	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Despina Papamichail	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Maja Chwalinska
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Despina Papamichail - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Adelina Lachinova - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Maja Chwalinska - Darja Vidmanova	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Maja Chwalinska - Suzan Lamens	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Moyuka Uchijima - Maja Chwalinska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide