Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PUNTA DEL ESTE (URUGUAY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: PUNTA DEL ESTE (URUGUAY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Gilbert Soares Klier Junior

	1	2
	1.78	1.9
	1.72	1.98
	1.76	2
	1.73	2
	1.82	1.92
	1.78	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.8)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
52.5%

Gilbert Soares Klier Junior
47.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Gilbert Soares Klier Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilbert Soares Klier Junior than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior Predictions

Users Predictions: Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Dellien Velasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
19.01.24	Mariano Navone - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Nicolas Kicker - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
16.01.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
10.01.24	Joao Fonseca - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
08.01.24	Liam Draxl - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Draxl L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWL?
- Gilbert Soares Klier Junior
ATP Challenger
14.01.24	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	0:2 ✺
01.12.23	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
29.11.23	Ignacio Buse - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWW

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior Predictions

Preview

Form

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