Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta (Chile), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	4	1.27
	3.83	1.27
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.8	1.24	Watch
	3.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.06)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
25.1%

Jesper De Jong
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's form might have worsened.

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: Jesper De Jong will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 185. De Jong is ranked ATP: 128.

Recent matches Dellien Velasco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Jong is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

De Jong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match De Jong is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Juan Bautista Torres	Canceled ✺
17.09.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Juan Ignacio Londero	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	Canceled ✺
13.09.24	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 W?L?L
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	Karue Sell - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Enzo Couacaud - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Damir Dzumhur - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Jesper De Jong - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
05.09.24	Jesper De Jong - Egor Agafonov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide