Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
			Watch
	4.50	1.17
	4.4	1.16
	4.59	1.16
	5	1.17
	4.54	1.16	Watch
	4.4	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (3.48)	1.16 ↓ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
20.3%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

73.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dellien Velasco will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varillas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellien Velasco is ranked ATP: 423., and Varillas is ranked ATP: 196..

Recent results have been tough for Dellien Velasco (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Varillas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dellien Velasco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Varillas is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Dellien Velasco has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - the odds 1.25 are the expected chance of winning is 73.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Benito Sanchez Martinez - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Tomas Farjat - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Francesco Passaro - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0
04.11.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2
Davis Cup World Group I
04.03.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0

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