Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Francesco Passaro		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.50
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.69
	1.4	2.71	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
64.1%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesco Passaro - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Varillas will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 207. Varillas is ranked ATP: 234.

Passaro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Varillas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Passaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Passaro could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Passaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Jesper De Jong - Francesco Passaro	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Francesco Passaro - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Francesco Passaro - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Matej Dodig - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Seyboth Wild T. Retired ✺
02.09.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.03.24	Francesco Passaro - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2

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