Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Murphy Cassone		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.58	2.41
	1.54	2.31
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	2.35 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
60.4%

Laurent Lokoli
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Murphy Cassone - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lokoli will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cassone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Cassone (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cassone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 255. Lokoli is ranked ATP: 502.

Cassone has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lokoli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cassone might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Murphy Cassone - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 63.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Maxence Bertimon	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Murphy Cassone - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
08.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Laurent Lokoli - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Laurent Lokoli - Clement Chidekh	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Arthur Bouquier - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Laurent Lokoli - Jakub Paul	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Philip Henning - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

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