Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Tristan Schoolkate		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.87	1.96
	1.75	2.02	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	1.96 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
52.3%

Murphy Cassone
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristan Schoolkate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murphy Cassone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tristan Schoolkate - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 102. Cassone is ranked ATP: 242.

Schoolkate is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cassone has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Marc Polmans	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Dane Sweeny - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Blake Ellis - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Li Tu - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?LWWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Dallas
08.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alex Rybakov - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Tristan Schoolkate - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide