Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 41, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Mwendwa Mbithi		Lorenzo Sciahbasi

	1	2
	3.08	1.30	Watch
	2.34	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.17)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mwendwa Mbithi
35%

Lorenzo Sciahbasi
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mwendwa Mbithi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mwendwa Mbithi's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Sciahbasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Sciahbasi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwendwa Mbithi than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mwendwa Mbithi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sciahbasi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Sciahbasi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mwendwa Mbithi - Lorenzo Sciahbasi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mbithi is ranked ATP: 757. Sciahbasi is ranked ATP: 678.

Mbithi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sciahbasi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sciahbasi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sciahbasi could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Sciahbasi will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mwendwa Mbithi
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Justas Trainauskas	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Mwendwa Mbithi	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Lorenzo Sciahbasi
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Luka Talan Lopatic - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Daniele Rapagnetta - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Igor Kudriashov	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Federico Iannaccone	Sciahbasi L. retired ✺
20.09.25	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWL?W

Mwendwa Mbithi - Lorenzo Sciahbasi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide