Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Mykyta Mashtakov		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.52	2.38
	1.50	2.67
	1.47	2.47	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.45	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	2.5 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mykyta Mashtakov
62.8%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mykyta Mashtakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mykyta Mashtakov than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mykyta Mashtakov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mario Gonzalez Fernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mykyta Mashtakov - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mashtakov is ranked ATP: 576. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 564.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mashtakov could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mykyta Mashtakov
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Jannik Opitz	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Valentin Basel	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Daniel Michalski - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Matt Kuhar	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Richard Mallory	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWW?

Mykyta Mashtakov - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide