Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Plovdiv 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday


	Mykyta Mashtakov		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36
	2.75	1.37
	3.11	1.44
	2.96	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.37
	2.84	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mykyta Mashtakov
31.9%

Juan Manuel La Serna
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mykyta Mashtakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mykyta Mashtakov than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mykyta Mashtakov - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mashtakov will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). La Serna will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mashtakov is ranked ATP: 576. La Serna is ranked ATP: 289.

Mashtakov is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

La Serna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Serna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

La Serna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mykyta Mashtakov
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Stefan Popovic	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Jannik Opitz	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Valentin Basel	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Daniel Michalski - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Mykyta Mashtakov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Alexander Vasilev - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Benjamin Hassan - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Luca Staeheli - Juan Manuel La Serna	Staeheli L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWL?

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