Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 San Gregorio 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday


	Nadia Podoroska		Lucciana Perez Alarcon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.70
	1.93	1.76
	2.15	1.72
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.56)	1.71 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nadia Podoroska
45.9%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nadia Podoroska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nadia Podoroska's form might have worsened.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucciana Perez Alarcon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nadia Podoroska than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nadia Podoroska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucciana Perez Alarcon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nadia Podoroska - Lucciana Perez Alarcon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Podoroska is ranked WTA: 780. Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 372.

Podoroska has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Perez Alarcon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Podoroska will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Podoroska won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nadia Podoroska
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Ruien Zhang - Nadia Podoroska	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Nadia Podoroska - Carolina Troiano	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Nadia Podoroska - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Nadia Podoroska - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Dunja Maric - Nadia Podoroska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Amy Stevens - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Isabelle Cherny - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Nadia Podoroska - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Andreea Prisacariu - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Elena Korokozidi - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.06.26	Nadia Podoroska - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:1

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