Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Preston C. (Usa)


	Naoki Nakagawa		Alexander Bernard

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.58	2.42
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.46	2.62	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	2.42 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
61.4%

Alexander Bernard
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alexander Bernard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bernard than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bernard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Naoki Nakagawa - Alexander Bernard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 429. Bernard is ranked ATP: 870.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakagawa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Evan Sharygin	Canceled ✺
10.09.24	Marek Gengel - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.09.24	Kokoro Isomura - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
06.09.24	Naoki Nakagawa - Daisuke Sumizawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 W?LLW
- Alexander Bernard
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Alexander Bernard - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.08.24	Alexander Bernard - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Alexander Bernard - Adhithya Ganesan	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Alexander Bernard - Tyler Zink	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Samir Banerjee - Alexander Bernard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWW

Naoki Nakagawa - Alexander Bernard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide