Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LEON (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Mark Lajal

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.11	1.7
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.04	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.58)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
44.7%

Mark Lajal
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naoki Nakagawa's performance.

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mark Lajal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naoki Nakagawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Naoki Nakagawa - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nakagawa will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lajal will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nakagawa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lajal will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Luke Saville - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Sekou Bangoura - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Alex Michelsen - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Colin Markes - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Jesper De Jong - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
27.03.23	Mark Lajal - Antoine Hoang	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Ulises Blanch - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Mark Lajal - Dan Added	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Gauthier Onclin - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWW

Naoki Nakagawa - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide