Match Info

Date: 2 March 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Naoki Tajima		Alexander Crnokrak

	1	2
	2.5	1.42
	2.52	1.42
	2.5	1.44
	2.86	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.89)	1.42 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Tajima
35.4%

Alexander Crnokrak
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Tajima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naoki Tajima's form might have worsened.

Alexander Crnokrak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Crnokrak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Tajima than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoki Tajima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Crnokrak than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Crnokrak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Naoki Tajima - Alexander Crnokrak Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Crnokrak will win (42 of 45 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.04% – 100%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Tajima
ITF Tournaments
19.02.20	Jonas Forejtek - Naoki Tajima	2:0 ✺
16.02.20	Naoki Tajima - Juan Pablo Paz	1:2 ✺
16.02.20	Alexandar Lazarov - Naoki Tajima	1:2 ✺
15.02.20	Naoki Tajima - Berfu Cengiz	2:1
15.02.20	Calin Manda - Naoki Tajima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWW
- Alexander Crnokrak
ATP Challenger
02.02.20	Tobias Simon - Alexander Crnokrak	2:0 ✺
27.01.20	Daniel Altmaier - Alexander Crnokrak	2:1 ✺
15.01.20	Christopher OConnell - Alexander Crnokrak	2:0 ✺
12.01.20	Alexander Crnokrak - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
11.01.20	Toshihide Matsui - Alexander Crnokrak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW

Naoki Tajima - Alexander Crnokrak

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Naoki Tajima - Alexander Crnokrak Predictions

Form

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