Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bad Homburg 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Naomi Osaka		Magdalena Frech

	1	2
	1.30	3.50	Watch
	1.28	3.60
	1.29	3.60
	1.29	3.96
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.29	3.60
	1.32	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	3.6 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
73.6%

Magdalena Frech
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.

Magdalena Frech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Magdalena Frech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdalena Frech than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magdalena Frech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Naomi Osaka - Magdalena Frech Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Frech (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Naomi Osaka will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 15. Frech is ranked WTA: 45.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Frech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Naomi Osaka - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.96%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Magdalena Frech - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 34.04%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Iva Jovic - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Donna Vekic - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Laura Siegemund - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
11.05.26	Naomi Osaka - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL
- Magdalena Frech
WTA Berlin
16.06.26	Magdalena Frech - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
15.06.26	Magdalena Frech - Shuai Zhang	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Magdalena Frech - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.26	Jil Belen Teichmann - Magdalena Frech	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Magdalena Frech - Elena Gabriela Ruse	Ruse G. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWL?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Tokyo
27.10.26	Naomi Osaka - Jasmine Paolini	✺

Naomi Osaka - Magdalena Frech: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide