Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Naoya Honda		Amit Vales

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.86	1.87
	1.58	2.26	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.51	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	2.21 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoya Honda
57.8%

Amit Vales
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoya Honda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Amit Vales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Naoya Honda - Amit Vales Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vales (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Vales (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Vales (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Games - Vales (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vales (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Preview

Honda is ranked ATP: 814. Vales is ranked ATP: 894.

Honda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Vales has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Honda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Honda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoya Honda
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Naoya Honda - Alejandro Arcila	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Naoya Honda - Yusuke Kusuhara	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Colin Sinclair - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.05.25	Naoya Honda - Ben Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Amit Vales - Dian Nedev	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Vlado Jankanj - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Samuele Seghetti - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Mark Whitehouse - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

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