Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Alaminos 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Naoya Honda		Gabi Adrian Boitan

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.89	1.37	Watch
	2.42	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.42)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoya Honda
33.3%

Gabi Adrian Boitan
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoya Honda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Gabi Adrian Boitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naoya Honda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabi Adrian Boitan than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabi Adrian Boitan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Honda is ranked ATP: 845. Boitan is ranked ATP: 379.

Recent matches Honda is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boitan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boitan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Boitan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Boitan to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoya Honda
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Photos Photiades - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.25	Egor Gerasimov - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Naoya Honda - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Maxime Cressy - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.25	Naoya Honda - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLL
- Gabi Adrian Boitan
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Nicolas Parizzia - Gabi Adrian Boitan	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Antoni Fabre - Gabi Adrian Boitan	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Tomas Luis - Gabi Adrian Boitan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Naoya Honda - Gabi Adrian Boitan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide