Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kursumlijska Banja, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Nastasja Mariana Schunk		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.63	2.17
	1.62	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)	2.13 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nastasja Mariana Schunk
56.5%

Lia Karatancheva
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nastasja Mariana Schunk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nastasja Mariana Schunk's performance.

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lia Karatancheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nastasja Mariana Schunk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nastasja Mariana Schunk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lia Karatancheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Schunk is ranked WTA: 300. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 282.

In recent matches, Schunk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karatancheva is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Schunk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Schunk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nastasja Mariana Schunk
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Mai Hontama - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Nao Hibino - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLL
- Lia Karatancheva
ITF Tournaments
11.05.25	Arina Rodionova - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Riya Bhatia - Lia Karatancheva	1:2 ✺
09.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Katherine Sebov - Lia Karatancheva	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Lia Karatancheva - Maria Kononova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Lia Karatancheva - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:0

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