Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: San Sebastian, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Nastasja Mariana Schunk		Sara Bejlek

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	3.8	1.24
			Watch
	4.37	1.22
	4.02	1.21	Watch
	3.63	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.83)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nastasja Mariana Schunk
23.3%

Sara Bejlek
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nastasja Mariana Schunk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nastasja Mariana Schunk's form might have worsened.

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sara Bejlek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nastasja Mariana Schunk than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nastasja Mariana Schunk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sara Bejlek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Sara Bejlek Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Schunk will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bejlek will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bejlek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Schunk (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schunk (votes: 1 - 50%). Bejlek (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schunk is ranked WTA: 268. Bejlek is ranked WTA: 111.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Schunk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bejlek is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nastasja Mariana Schunk
ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Noma Akugue Noha - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Britt Du Pree - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Anastasia Bertacchi	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Fiona Ganz	2:1 ✺
25.07.25	Sohyun Park - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Sara Bejlek
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Sara Bejlek - Dominika Salkova	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Sara Bejlek - Destanee Aiava	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Sara Bejlek - Gloria Ceschi	Canceled ✺
WTA Prague
25.07.25	Xin Yu Wang - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Sara Bejlek - Alycia Parks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LL?LW

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