Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kurume, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Natsumi Kawaguchi		Eri Shimizu

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsumi Kawaguchi
49.8%

Eri Shimizu
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsumi Kawaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Eri Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eri Shimizu than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Eri Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 417. Shimizu is ranked WTA: 384.

Kawaguchi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kawaguchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Natsumi Kawaguchi - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Eri Shimizu - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Rina Saigo - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Mei Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Haruka Kaji - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Yuno Kitahara - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Fangran Tian	Tian F. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWW?
- Eri Shimizu
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Miho Kuramochi - Eri Shimizu	Canceled ✺
12.05.26	Yui Ohwaki - Eri Shimizu	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Eri Shimizu - Lin Zhu	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Ena Koike - Eri Shimizu	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Eri Shimizu - Hina Inoue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.11.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Eri Shimizu	1:2
17.06.25	Eri Shimizu - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0
16.05.23	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Eri Shimizu	0:2

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Eri Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide