Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Nakhon Pathom, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Natsumi Kawaguchi		Yidi Yang

	1	2
	2.54	1.44
	2.3	1.53
	2.61	1.45
	4.52	1.15	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.36)	1.43 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsumi Kawaguchi
33.6%

Yidi Yang
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsumi Kawaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Natsumi Kawaguchi's form might have worsened.

Yidi Yang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yidi Yang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Natsumi Kawaguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yidi Yang than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yidi Yang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 640. Yang is ranked WTA: 379.

Recent performances by Kawaguchi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yang is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Yang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yang could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Yang will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Mao Mushika	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Bunyawi Thamchaiwat	Thamchaiwat B. retired ✺
22.07.25	Viktoria Morvayova - Natsumi Kawaguchi	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Patcharin Cheapchandej - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Stefi Webb - Natsumi Kawaguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 L?WLW
- Yidi Yang
ITF Tournaments
15.07.25	Elsa Wan - Yidi Yang	Canceled ✺
12.07.25	Yujia Huang - Yidi Yang	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Yidi Yang - Daria Zelinskaya	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Jiaqi Wang - Yidi Yang	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Zhuoma Ni Ma - Yidi Yang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?WWWW

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Yidi Yang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide