Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Nakhon Pathom 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Natsumi Kawaguchi		Mao Mushika

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.62	2.25
	1.61	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.13	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natsumi Kawaguchi
55.6%

Mao Mushika
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natsumi Kawaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Natsumi Kawaguchi's performance.

Mao Mushika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mao Mushika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Natsumi Kawaguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mao Mushika than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mao Mushika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Kawaguchi is ranked WTA: 628. Mushika is ranked WTA: 807.

Kawaguchi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mushika is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mushika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Bunyawi Thamchaiwat	Thamchaiwat B. retired ✺
22.07.25	Viktoria Morvayova - Natsumi Kawaguchi	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Patcharin Cheapchandej - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Stefi Webb - Natsumi Kawaguchi	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Yuhan Liu - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WLWW
- Mao Mushika
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Mao Mushika - Yuka Hosoki	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Punnin Kovapitukted - Mao Mushika	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Mao Mushika - Alyssa Ahn	Mushika Mao retired ✺
18.06.25	Haley Giavara - Mao Mushika	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Mao Mushika - Alyssa Ahn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WW?WW

Natsumi Kawaguchi - Mao Mushika: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide