Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Vieira J. (Por)


	Neil Oberleitner		Carlos Lopez Montagud

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	1.9	1.92
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.82	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	1.89 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neil Oberleitner
50.9%

Carlos Lopez Montagud
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neil Oberleitner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Carlos Lopez Montagud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Lopez Montagud than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Neil Oberleitner - Carlos Lopez Montagud Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oberleitner will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Lopez Montagud will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oberleitner: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Lopez Montagud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
01.07.24	Carlos Gimeno Valero - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
30.06.24	Paul Valsecchi - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
03.06.24	Mohamed Safwat - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Neil Oberleitner - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.05.24	Neil Oberleitner - Anton Matusevich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL
- Carlos Lopez Montagud
ITF Tournaments
21.06.24	Andrea Picchione - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Picchione A. retired ✺
20.06.24	Yanaki Milev - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Niccolo Baroni - Carlos Lopez Montagud	1:2 ✺
18.06.24	Luigi Sorrentino - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Canceled ✺
15.06.24	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Tibo Colson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?WW?W

Neil Oberleitner - Carlos Lopez Montagud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide