Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Nerman Fatic		Federico Bondioli

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.09	1.8
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.93	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.72)	1.71 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
45.3%

Federico Bondioli
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nerman Fatic's form might have worsened.

Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Bondioli's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Nerman Fatic - Federico Bondioli Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fatic will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Bondioli will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bondioli: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Federico Bondioli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fatic is ranked ATP: 234. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 437.

Bondioli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bondioli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Nerman Fatic - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Yoshihito Nishioka - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL
- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Federico Bondioli - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWWWW

Nerman Fatic - Federico Bondioli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide