Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lugano 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nerman Fatic		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.25
	3.3	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.57	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.74)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
26.7%

Alejandro Moro Canas
73.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nerman Fatic's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alejandro Moro Canas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fatic is ranked ATP: 223. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 244.

Moro Canas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fatic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moro Canas is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fatic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.2%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Yoshihito Nishioka - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Nerman Fatic	Andaloro F. retired ✺
03.11.25	Nerman Fatic - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Nerman Fatic - Marko Miladinovic	Fatic N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?L?
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Stefano Travaglia - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Benjamin Hassan - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - George Loffhagen	Loffhagen G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Munich
14.04.24	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2
ITF Tournaments
11.11.22	Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2

Nerman Fatic - Alejandro Moro Canas