Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Nerman Fatic		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.23	3.8	Watch
	1.25	4.02
	1.14	5.27	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.4)	4.11 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
77.1%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nerman Fatic's performance.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nerman Fatic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nerman Fatic - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fatic will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ambrogi will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Ambrogi (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Ambrogi (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ambrogi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fatic is ranked ATP: 247. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 345.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Fatic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fatic is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Zsombor Piros - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Nerman Fatic	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Nerman Fatic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Leonardo Primucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Alex Barrena	Ambrogi L. E. retired ✺
18.06.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WL?LW

Nerman Fatic - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide