Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Niccolo Ciavarella		Gabriele Maria Noce

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.42
	2.76	1.39
	2.76	1.46
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.66	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.99)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Niccolo Ciavarella
34.4%

Gabriele Maria Noce
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niccolo Ciavarella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Gabriele Maria Noce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niccolo Ciavarella than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Maria Noce than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Niccolo Ciavarella - Gabriele Maria Noce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ciavarella is ranked ATP: 1045. Noce is ranked ATP: 773.

Ciavarella is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Noce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ciavarella may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noce is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciavarella won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niccolo Ciavarella
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Francesco Forti - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Andrey Chepelev - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.08.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Niccolo Ciavarella - Adrian Andreev	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Raffaele Ciurnelli - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gabriele Maria Noce
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	John Sperle - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Heorhii Shylov - Gabriele Maria Noce	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Pietro Marino - Gabriele Maria Noce	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Alessandro Battiston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Gabriele Maria Noce - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:1

Niccolo Ciavarella - Gabriele Maria Noce: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide