Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 5 (Romania), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday


	Nicholas David Ionel		Bogdan Pavel

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.5	2.37
	1.51	2.4
	1.57	2.25
	1.5	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	2.35 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicholas David Ionel
60.7%

Bogdan Pavel
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicholas David Ionel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Bogdan Pavel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicholas David Ionel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogdan Pavel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bogdan Pavel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Ionel is ranked ATP: 376. Pavel is ranked ATP: 712.

Ionel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pavel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pavel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ionel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ionel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicholas David Ionel
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Mihai Alexandru Coman	Coman M. A. retired ✺
22.08.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Jacopo Bilardo	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Mihnea Maftei	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?LWW
- Bogdan Pavel
ITF Tournaments
29.08.24	Dan Martin - Bogdan Pavel	Martin D. retired ✺
27.08.24	Taha Baadi - Bogdan Pavel	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Bogdan Pavel - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
31.07.24	Daniele Rapagnetta - Bogdan Pavel	1:2 ✺
25.07.24	Franco Roncadelli - Bogdan Pavel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.06.24	Bogdan Pavel - Nicholas David Ionel	1:2
20.06.24	Bogdan Pavel - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0
04.08.21	Nicholas David Ionel - Bogdan Pavel	2:0

Nicholas David Ionel - Bogdan Pavel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide