Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: YOKKAICHI (JAPAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 November 2022, Thursday


	Nicholas David Ionel		James Duckworth

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.7	1.44
	2.75	1.44
	2.73	1.48
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.74	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (3.25)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicholas David Ionel
34.5%

James Duckworth
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicholas David Ionel's performance.

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Duckworth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	0%	23.8%

Nicholas David Ionel - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ionel will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Duckworth will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ionel: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Duckworth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicholas David Ionel
ATP Challenger
23.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Shintaro Imai	2:0 ✺
21.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Nino Serdarusic	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Nino Serdarusic - Nicholas David Ionel	2:1 ✺
10.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Nicholas David Ionel	2:1 ✺
09.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW
- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
23.11.22	Filip Cristian Jianu - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
21.11.22	Makoto Ochi - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
15.11.22	James Duckworth - Shinji Hazawa	0:2 ✺
31.10.22	Mukund Sasikumar - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
27.10.22	Rinky Hijikata - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL

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