Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 November 2022, Thursday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Nicholas David Ionel

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.81	1.98
	1.8	1.98
	1.85	1.99
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.94	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.79)	1.94 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
51.6%

Nicholas David Ionel
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicholas David Ionel will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ionel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
09.11.22	Damir Dzumhur - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Nino Serdarusic	1:2 ✺
18.10.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Marek Gengel - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW
- Nicholas David Ionel
ATP Challenger
09.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
07.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.22	Corentin Denolly - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Damian Wenger - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Nicholas David Ionel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide