Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROSETO DEGLI ABRUZZI (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: ROSETO DEGLI ABRUZZI (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Nicholas David Ionel		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.1	1.7
	2.04	1.81
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.56)	1.71 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicholas David Ionel
45.2%

Sumit Nagal
54.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicholas David Ionel's performance.

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sumit Nagal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicholas David Ionel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sumit Nagal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Nicholas David Ionel - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ionel will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Nagal will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ionel: 69.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicholas David Ionel
ATP Challenger
19.04.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Edoardo Lavagno	Lavagno E. retired ✺
11.04.23	Filip Misolic - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Steven Diez - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
06.04.23	Nicholas David Ionel - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LLWW
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
19.04.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
18.04.23	Sumit Nagal - Riccardo Balzerani	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Sumit Nagal - Giorgio Ricca	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
02.04.23	Gabriele Piraino - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL

Nicholas David Ionel - Sumit Nagal

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Nicholas David Ionel - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Preview

Form

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