Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Elias Ymer		Sumit Nagal

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.46	1.56	Watch
	2.46	1.6
	2.42	1.59	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.42	1.58	Watch
	2.37	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.9)	1.57 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
39.1%

Sumit Nagal
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elias Ymer's form might have worsened.

Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elias Ymer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Nagal will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagal: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nagal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nagal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ymer won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Jack Draper - Elias Ymer	3:2 ✺
27.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Elias Ymer - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Elias Ymer - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Daniel Altmaier - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL
- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Pedro Cachin - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Sumit Nagal - Miomir Kecmanovic	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.04.23	Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal	2:0
15.06.19	Sumit Nagal - Elias Ymer	0:2

Elias Ymer - Sumit Nagal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide