Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MATSUYAMA (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 November 2022, Monday


	Nicholas David Ionel		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.88
	1.93	1.82
	1.98	1.84
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.93	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.08)	1.84 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicholas David Ionel
49.3%

Yuta Shimizu
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicholas David Ionel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicholas David Ionel's performance.

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicholas David Ionel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Nicholas David Ionel - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ionel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ionel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shimizu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicholas David Ionel
ATP Challenger
01.11.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.22	Corentin Denolly - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Damian Wenger - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Maxime Mora - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
27.10.22	Sarp Agabigun - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
06.11.22	Yuta Shimizu - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Yuta Shimizu - Andrew Harris	Canceled ✺
01.11.22	Yuta Shimizu - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Rinky Hijikata - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Joris De Loore - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 L?LWL

Nicholas David Ionel - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide