Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday


	Nick Chappell		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.42	1.55
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.87)	1.7 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Chappell
44.6%

Tristan McCormick
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Chappell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nick Chappell's form might have worsened.

Tristan McCormick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristan McCormick's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Chappell than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nick Chappell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan McCormick, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nick Chappell - Tristan McCormick Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chappell will win (votes: 3 - 75%). McCormick will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - McCormick (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McCormick (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Chappell is ranked ATP: 742. McCormick is ranked ATP: 607.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chappell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Chappell
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Nick Chappell - Shintaro Imai	Chappell N. retired ✺
10.06.25	Evan Zhu - Nick Chappell	2:1 ✺
05.06.25	Nick Chappell - Tsung-Hao Huang	1:2 ✺
04.06.25	Nick Chappell - Yuquan Jin	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Nick Chappell - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ?LLWW
- Tristan McCormick
ITF Tournaments
13.06.25	Tristan McCormick - Moerani Bouzige	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Aryan Shah - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Ezekiel Clark - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Tristan McCormick - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Andres Andrade - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL

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