Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Orange Park, FL, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Nick Hardt		Keaton Hance

	1	2
	1.32	3.1
	1.33	3.36
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.3	3.1
	1.31	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)	3.16 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Hardt
70.6%

Keaton Hance
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Hardt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nick Hardt's performance.

Keaton Hance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keaton Hance might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nick Hardt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keaton Hance than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keaton Hance could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nick Hardt - Keaton Hance Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hardt is ranked ATP: 588. Hance is ranked ATP: 1149.

Now, both players are in good form.

Hardt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hardt is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nick Hardt - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	James Connel - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Keshav Chopra - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Oren Vasser - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.04.26	Nick Hardt - Jack Kennedy	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Stefan Kozlov - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Keaton Hance
ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Keaton Hance - Matthew Segura	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Keaton Hance - Davide Tortora	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Ryan Colby - Keaton Hance	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cannon Kingsley - Keaton Hance	Hance K. Walkover ✺
25.04.26	Keaton Hance - Daniel Uta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWW?W

Nick Hardt - Keaton Hance: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide