Match Info

Date: 16 August 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Nick Kyrgios		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.19	4.5
	1.19	4.9
	1.19	4.5
	1.21	4.93
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.18	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.32)	4.66 ↑ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Kyrgios
79.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Kyrgios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nick Kyrgios's performance.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Kyrgios than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nick Kyrgios that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	0%	21.7%

Nick Kyrgios - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: Nick Kyrgios will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kyrgios is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kyrgios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kyrgios is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Kyrgios
ATP Montreal
12.08.22	Nick Kyrgios - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
11.08.22	Nick Kyrgios - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
10.08.22	Daniil Medvedev - Nick Kyrgios	1:2 ✺
09.08.22	Sebastian Baez - Nick Kyrgios	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
07.08.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Nick Kyrgios	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
22.07.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
20.07.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
18.07.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.22	Sebastian Baez - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL

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