Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.3
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
57.6%

Alex Molcan
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alex Molcan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Budkov Kjaer (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 154. Molcan is ranked ATP: 202.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Molcan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
27.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
06.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jack Draper	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWL?
- Alex Molcan
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Alexandre Muller - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Alex Molcan - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Alex Molcan - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Alexander Blockx - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWL

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