Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lugano 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Petr Nesterov

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Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
81.2%

Petr Nesterov
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's performance.

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Nesterov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 154. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 499.

Budkov Kjaer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nesterov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Budkov Kjaer is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Henry Bernet	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
06.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jack Draper	Canceled ✺
05.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WL?LL
- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Murphy Cassone - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Gabriele Piraino - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Federico Iannaccone - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.02.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Petr Nesterov - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Petr Nesterov