Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.81
	1.47	2.61	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	2.71 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
65.5%

Giovanni Fonio
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolai Budkov Kjaer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Fonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Fonio will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 158. Fonio is ranked ATP: 407.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Budkov Kjaer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Budkov Kjaer might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	Pucinelli de Almeida M. retired ✺
11.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Alexandr Binda - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WL?WW
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Federico Bondioli - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Giovanni Fonio - Rocco Piatti	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Niccolo Ciavarella - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide